Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Jakarta Live Trading

Rabu, 28 Jan
Jam 11:58WIB

Malam ini di Alila
Lt.5 R.Strata
Jam 21.00

Cari kandidat sekarang
agar malam ini kita banyak pilihan


Kemarin IBM tidak buat New High
jadi Cancel masuk

AAPL menarik, sudah 5 hari naik
tapi kenaikannnya sudah ngecil
dan volumenya juga menurun
Ini tanda2 Saham mau balik arah
saya masuk PUT Feb


Peter

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Malam ini perhatikan IBM

Selasa, 27 Jan 09
17:38WIB

Kemarin BAC saya kena Stop Loss
BAC tutup PERSIS di 6.0... Sedih deh.
Ga apa2....

Kemarin, pasar di tutup dengan Dow
menguat sedikt
dan saya perhatikan uang ngalir ke sector Services

Perhatikan IBM, IVnya rendah
jika buat New High saya akan masuk


Peter

Monday, January 26, 2009

Baru masuk BAC & Geser Stop Loss SLB

Senin, 26 Jan
23:20 WIB

Selamat Sin Cia
bagi yg merayakan

Saya yakin 2009 akan
jadi Tahun penuh berkat
bagi yang 'Punya Ilmu'

Jumat kemarin BAC bentuk Piercing
dan hari ini crate New High
saya masuk di 6.75

Langsung saya set OCO di 10 & 6

SLB naik sesuai harapan saya
Profit $75
Saya langsung Locking Profit dgn
cara Geser Stop Loss dari 0.9 ke 1.4
Modal di 1.3


Peter

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Masuk SLB, BAC Hit Stop Loss & Cut Loss ROH

Jumat, 23 Jan 09
Jam 02:10 Subuh

Selesai Preview di Surabaya
Jumat 23 Jan langsung kembali
ke Jakarta, pesawat terakhir 23:55
dan masih di kasih bonus delay 1 jam
Akhirnya tiba di rumah 02:00

Saya lihat CNBC dan dengar bahwa
Sector yang Perform adalah
Energy & Tech

Saya Cross Check & ternyata benar
yang paling bagus adalah energy
XOM, CVX, DVN, SLB & RIG

Setelah saya perhatikan Pola Candle
yang terbaih disertai Volume yg
menunjang adalah SLB

Problemnya SLB di hadang oleh MA
tapi dari pengalaman saya
dengan pola candle yang begitu
kuat maka KEMUNGKINAN besar
Resistance akan di tembus
jadi saya putuskan beli SLB Feb CALL 45 $1.3
Saya set OCO di 2.85 & 0.9

Beberapa hari lalu
Saya lakukan Credit Spread ROH 65/70
dengan Credit $140 dan Resiko Max $500
kemarin ROH menembus 3 DMA sekaligus
saya putuskan, saya salah dan Cut Loss di -198
Jika ROH bisa tembus 3 DMA
maka kemungkinan akan terus ke atas
sesuai dengan arah DIA, SPY & QQQQ

Rencananya: saya akan Counter balik dengan
Credit Spread PUT di 60/55 di hari Senin besok

Ada yang tahu: kalo 'Sin Cia' Saham di US Buka ga?


Kandidat yg bisa anda perhatikan: LDK, DRYS, BAC
Pola Candle baik, ambil sahamnya saja jika besok 'buat New High'
Note: Jika uang terbatas, tidak harus beli 100 lembar
bisa saja beli 75 lembar

Gitu beli: langsung di OCO, set Limit atas & bawah



BAC saya sdh kena Stop loss pada hari Kamis kemarin
dan masih ada untung karena saya sdh geser stop Loss




Peter

Thursday, January 22, 2009

Geser Stop Loss BAC & ROH Filled

Kamis 24 Jan
08:00 WIB

Kemarin belanja BAC di 5.84
sekarang tutup di 6.68
Sudah Profit: LANGSUNG geser
Stop Loss ke 6.2 (Locking Profit)

Kemarin sy lakukan Credit Spread ROH CALL 65/70 Feb
Saya tawar di 1.4 lalu pergi tidur
pagi ini sdh dapat posisi tsb

Saya pilih CALL 65 karena ada Resistance DMA22


Peter

BAC

Kamis, 22 Jan
Jam 00:20 Subuh

Saya baru sampe rumah dari Preview di Alila
Saat ini BAC bentuk Bullish Harami
Volume > 150Juta lembar
saya putuskan beli 100 lembar di 5.84

Pasang OCO di 10 & 5


Peter

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Bank of America

Beberapa hari ini saham2 Bank
pada berjatuhan karena investor
masih takut dengan sector ini

3 hari ini BAC terus drop
tapi jika anda perhatikan
volume mulai melemah!

Ini bagus, artinya: ada kemungkinan
saham bisa rebound

Saya pribadi tidak takut BAC jadi Nol
karena pemerintah sdh confirm suntik dana

Saran saya, tunggu Volume mulai Hijau
dan langsung beli SAHAMnya saja
Target untung 30-100% dalam 1 minggu

lihat contoh C, BSC, AIG, DRYS
saat jatuh ke bawah dan rebound
bisa profit 100% dalam 1 minggu


Peter

Kandidat Malam ini

Rabu, 21 Jan 09
Jam 09:20WIB

Kemarin DOW -300 point
dan $VXO naik ke 60%
artinya IV naik tinggi
yg buat OPTION jadi mahal

Kemarin SPY tutup > 2.5 dari DMA22
jadi malam ini kita akan
main SPY.

Ilmu ini sudah pernah saya ajarkan saat
Live Trading di Jakarta maupun Surabaya


Live Trading JAKARTA
Malam ini di ALILA
Lt.3 R.Catalyst
Jam 21.00-22.00


Peter

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

All Time High

Selasa, 20 Jan 2009
Jam 17:10

Ada beberapa saham bentuk All-Time-High
artinya, saham tsh punya kekuatan.
yang lain mahih sulit tapi
mereka berhasil Break High

Jika saham2 tsb masih kuat
maka bisa naik lagi
tapi jika ga kuat, bisa jatuh dalam

ESI, APOL & MYGN

Ini yang kalian perhatikan
Apabila Pola Candle Reversal
seperti Shooting Star maka siap2 ambil PUT



Peter


Monday, January 19, 2009

Jakarta LiveTrading

Senin, 19 Jan 2009
Jam: 16:05WIB


Hari ini pasar US libur
Besok, pelantikan Obama

Biasanya jika lagi liburan / hari besar
pasar US Naik

Tidak tahu kenapa, tapi mungkin
agar semua orang senang.
soalnya kalo libur kan harus keluar uang
makanya pasar naik buat nambah
uang saku


saat ini Pre-market DOW +75

JAKARTA Live Trading
Rabu, 21 Jan 2009
Hotel ALILA****
Lt. 3 R. Catalyst
Jam 21.00-22.00




Peter

Friday, January 16, 2009

DIA Signal Reversal Pattern

Friday, 16th Jan 2009
09:10WIB

Last nite, DOW open lower and keep lower
however, after lunch it reverse.

This morning, I look at DIA at it create 'Hammer' Pattern
It is a Good Reversal Signal

Tonite, if DIA or SPY Green. Buy CALL ITM at least FEB
Since $VXO is 50%, that means DIA still can go wild
Protect your selft using STOP LOSS or STRANGLE

If you are looking at specific Stock, check the IV
Let me you give some tips.

Fund Managers moves thier money to this area
Basic Material, Energy, Services & Technology

POT, MON, FCX, X, XOM, SLB, RIG, CVX, MCD, AAPL, RIMM



Good Luck

Peter Sufandri

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Surabaya Live Trading

Thursday, 15th Jan 2009
20:09WIB

Hotel Surabaya Plaza
Ground Floor
Conference Room
Friday 16th Jan 2009
From 21.00-22.00

Tomorrow is Expiration of JAN 09 OPTION
You still can make 1-2% /Nite
Come, I will show you how to do it


See u tomorrow


Peter Sufandri

IV is Rising - What to do?

Thursday, 15 Jan 2009

15:30WIB



Dear OPTION Traders,





Yesterday nite, I arrive at home

around 00:45 in the morning

just came back from OPTION Preview

at Hotel ALILA followed by Live Trading meeting



I look at $VIX, and it is Rising

Normal condition, VIX is around 20%

That means, IV is High



High IV is not suitable for Buying OPTION

however, it is a good time to sell



I look at SKF, the IV > 125%

and the good news is, Jan OPTION

will expired this Friday, just 2 days away



SKF is going UP



I sell STO PUT 120 Jan

I Buy BTO PUT 115 Jan

Total Credit 0.40 x 2 contract = 80



Margin needed for this trade is $1.000

I expect this OPTION will Expired worthless

and make 80/1000 = 8% just 2 days!



You still can do it today

you might get 5% just 1 Day!

You change of winning is 99%





Hey, Deposit to your local bank

only make 3% / 365 Days!







Peter Sufandri

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

WARNING - ROH

Wednesday, 14th Jan 09
12:40PM


Dear OPTION Traders,

Yesterday ROH Drop 6.42%
and Closed at 59.47

for those of you and me who still
have have Open Position Selling OPTION
BE CAREFULL

Althought we SELL 50 PUT
and it is still 9.47 away
be careful, stock going down a lot faster
it is possible for ROH to reach 50 within 3 days


To nite, 15min after market Open
If ROH is RED, Close your position.

Market Open at 20.30WIB

Goto Spread, Limit DEBIT: xx.xx


Eg. When you did Credit Spread
You enter: Limit Credit $1.4

To nite: Fill Limit Debit $0.35

That means, we receive 1.4 and give back to market 0.35
Still Profit 1.05

It is better make Little Profit than Losing Money


Good Luck all


Peter Sufandri

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Our Open Position

Tuesday, 13th Jan 2009
12:25PM

Dear OPTION Trader

Mr. Doni, Your AZO yesterday close 128
as you expected it fall below 130.


Mr. Dharma, our PUT 50 ROH is in good shape
ROH still trade 63.55
We hove this Friday it will Expired Worthless


Peter Sufandri

Monday, January 12, 2009

Jakarta Live Trading

Monday, 12th Jan 2009
15:44PM WIB

Dear Option Traders

Live Trading will be conducted at

Hotel ALILA****, Pecenongan
Wednesday, 14th Jan 09
from 21.00-22.00
3rd Floor, Catalyst Room


Peter Sufandri

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Monday Candidat

Sunday, 11th Jan 2009.
21.59PM WIB

Dear OPTION Traders

Last Friday, SPY (S&P500) Index form Hammer (Long tail)
and we hope Monday it will reverse course.

Wait 30 minutes after market open, if SPY turn Green
Buy BTO CALL SPY Feb ITM, Target it reach 94.45 within 3 days
and also Buy BTO SPY PUT Feb 3 Strike Out

eg. if you buy CALL 89 ITM , then buy PUT 86 OTM

Buying 2 Options with diffrent strike also known as Strangle
We are forming Hedging Position

I have calculate using Friday data
This trade give us 3:1 of Winning ratio


We need to Hedge our self since VXO is > 2o% which
means the marget is still volatite.


Good Luck

Peter Sufandri

Surabaya Live OPTION Trading

Sunday, 21.35PM WIB

Dear OPTION Traders

Friday Morning I post that we must look closely at Energy Sector
cause fund managers move thier funds to that sector

Friday Nite, I was at Surabaya Plaza and do Live Trading.
10 Minutes after market open, Energy went the other way
so we decide to pass XOM & CVX


We look at ROH, since the IV is > 100%
we decide to do Credit Spread
capital $500, Credit $60 for 7 days

We Sell STO PUT 50 Jan
and Buy BTO Put 45 Jan
Total Credit $0.6

If ROH > 50 this Friday, we keep all the Credit


Peter Sufandri

Friday, January 9, 2009

Fund Managers move thier fund to ENERGY

10:26AM, 9th Jan 09


Dear Option Traders

Yesterday, DOW Open Low but at the end of the day
it rebound. I also detect that Fund managers move thier funds to ENERGY 

These are candidats for tonite.
Since January OPTION just 8 days to Expired
we should buy FEB OPTION

CALL OPTION

XOM  Target 81.5  Stop 78.85, IV is good
CVX Target 81.29 Stop 72.83, IV is good
PBR, SLB & RIG OPTIONS are too expensive


Good luck

Peter Sufandri

Thursday, January 8, 2009

My AZO reach Target

Thursday, 8th Jan 09
10.20wib

OPTION Traders

My AZO reach Target 7.1
Bought at 5.8
22.4% in 2 days.


Peter Sufandri

Stock OPTION Live Trading

Dear Option Traders,

Meeting for Live Trading as follow
for Alumni Only, no outsider is allowed to join

Bring your friends to PREVIEW.
Live Trading just after Preview


SURABAYA
Friday, 9th Jan 09
Hotel Surabaya Plaza****
Ground Floor, Conference Room
from 21.00-22.00 PM

JAKARTA
Wednesday, 14th Jan 09
Hotel ALILA****
3rd Floor, Catalyst Room
From 21.00-22.00PM


Peter

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

New Material in OPTION Training 2009

Starting Jan 2009

We will use Think or Swim as our Stock OPTION Trading Platform
due to 2 main reasons

1. Fast..... Switching between OPTION Chain
and Chart is instant! Nearly no delay.

2. Trading OPTION < 10 Contracts is cheaps
Standard Commision $3 / Contract
You will learn how to Reduce it to $1.25 / Contact


You will learn how to use OPTION Analyzer to calculate
Profit & Loss, TOS has build in OPTION Calculator
this make life a lot easier.

NEW....NEW....NEW
I will teach you how to "Detect" fund managers moves thier money.

If you know Fund managers moving in to Technology
or Leaving Telecomunication, isn't that give us advantage to trade?


Seats are limited
SMS Lina 08128008060 "Reseat + Name + Kloter + City"
Rp. 1.250.000


Peter

Fund Managers move thier funds to...

Jakarta 7th Jan 09, 12:35 WIB

Dear Stock Option Traders

Last 2 days, fund managers has moved thier funds to Technolgy
and start leaving Health care, so we have opportunity to trade tonite


CALL OPTION for HPQ
Target 42.5
Stop Loss 37
IV is good <50%



PUT OPTIONS for
ABT
Target 46
Stop Loss 53.3
IV is good < 40%


CELG
Target 45.77
Stop Loss 53.5
IV around 50%

AMGN
Target 52.5
Stop Loss 60.15
IV < 50%

Good Luck
Peter Sufandri

Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Earning Schedule

Mr. Agoes Joesoef from Jakarta
ask where to look at Earning Schedule
since Briefing made changes to thier page

1. www.Briefing.com
Select Individual
Select Individual Investor
On the Right you will see Investor
Click Go Now


2. www.Earning.com


3. http://finance.google.com

Goto Yahoo Finance
Select Investing
Choose Stocks
At Company Earning
Click 'Earning Dates'

If you have a better one
please share with us.


Peter Sufandri

Monday, January 5, 2009

Just Enter AZO 130 Feb PUT

Jakarta 10:15PM 5th Jan 09

AZO create Bearish Engulfing Pattern
I enter 130P Feb

My Target is AZO drop from 139 to 130 this Friday

Stop Loss if AZO Hit 142

Peter Sufandri

AZO.... up...up.... 140!!!!!

21 Nov 08 AZO reverse course
Today AZO at 140!

AZO is in Auto Industry
while GM and other fellow need Bail Out
AZO fly to heaven...

It doesn't make sense right?

Back few years ago
we have seen SNDK (SanDisk) the Memory Maker
stock up...up...up.. and away
also GRMN (Garmin) the GPS Produces
has the same story..up...up...and a way

after that the stock just crash!!!!!!!!!

AZO will be next one?

AZO try to create a NEW High
if it can't... good for U. Buy PUT Option
and current IV is <50% which is good


Peter Sufandri

SKF - Credit Spread. Capital $500

SKF Resistance at 100
Back to September reach low at 95

these few days, DOW is rally up
and IV is dropping to 40%

however, few stock has IV > 100%

if you have limited capital $500
this is good for you

SKF IV around 100%
SELL STO OPTION PUT 90 Jan +2.35 .SKFML
BUY BTO OPTION PUT 85 Jan -1.35 .SKFMG

Total Credit 100 / contract
Capital 500 / contract

Option will expired in 13 days
Target Profit 20%


Important: if today SKF is still down, do not enter
we wait until ir rebound before we get in

If SKF is UP, you can enter this trade


Peter Sufandri

Preview & Next Training

Start 2009, we'll use TOS as our new Trading Platform.

Stock OPTION
Preview Schedule & Training

SURABAYA

PREVIEW
Friday 9th Jan 09 at 18.00-20.00
Saturday 10th Jan 09 at 10.00-12.00
Hotel Surabaya Plaza****, 1st Floor, Conference Room

Training Sheraton***** Surabaya
31 Jan & 1-2 Feb 2009
Saturday-Sunday from 09.00-17.00
Monday from 19.00-22.00



PREVIEW

JAKARTA
Monday 12th Jan 09 at 19.00-21.-00
Wednesday 14th Jan 09 at 19.00-21.00
Hotel ALILA****, Pecenongan
3rd Floor, Catalyst Room

Trainig Novotel**** M2M
7-9 Feb 2009
Saturday-Sunday from 09.00-17.00
Monday from 19.00-22.00


Bring your friend to Preview session
and 10% Marketing Fee will be allocated to you.


Training Registration:
SMS to Lina 0812 800 80 60 "Register Training: Name + City"
eg. "Register Training: Teddy from Jakarta"


Re-Seat Rp. 1.250.000
SMS to Lina 0812 800 80 60 "Reseat: Name + City"
eg. "Reseat: Teddy from Jakarta"






Peter Sufandri

SPY Day Trade

Last Friday, SPY Close > 2.5 from PMA 22
Chances are, SPY will do some correction Monday

Wait 30 minutes after Market Open
If SPY > 2.5 from PMA22
Buy PUT ITM Jan
also Buy CALL OTM Jan 3 Strike Out
(Strangle)

We have discuss this technique during Live Trading
at Alila Hotel Jakarta & Surabaya Plaza

Right now, VXO is 38%, that means SPY can trade +/- 3.8% in a week
We plan to get out at the same day
so we just target SPY move 50% at 1.9% one night

Assume: after 30 minute SPY trade at 92.8
Our target is: 92.8 - 1.9% = 91

Use OPTION Calculator to calcualte our OPTION Value
if Hit Target. Our target is at least $1

right now, Pre-Market is RED, that is good
as we expected.


Good Luck
Peter Sufandri